tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2965766791260152878.post186831356591504460..comments2023-03-13T07:57:36.570-07:00Comments on Astro-Climate-Connection: Evidence that Strong El Nino Events are Triggered by the Moon - IVNinderthanahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00390339452469614741noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2965766791260152878.post-61652286256267369682015-04-10T15:54:53.050-07:002015-04-10T15:54:53.050-07:00Whoa, that is a lot of reading material. I only gl...Whoa, that is a lot of reading material. I only glanced at a portion of it. You have some interesting thoughts. I have developed an interest in the ENSO changes over the last several years. At the beginning of last year I had a bit of peed off inspired thought set off by conversation with one of the superior intellects who dwell at "The Conversation". That inspiration led me to develop a method which so far has allowed me to correctly forecast the last several positions of the MEI over the previous 12 months, peaks and valleys. I will come back later to spend time perusing your page here. I am interested in lunar connections, mainly in regards to world quakes. Thanks, I'll be back!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2965766791260152878.post-90066423596272334622014-12-15T16:31:59.282-08:002014-12-15T16:31:59.282-08:00IW said
" I am very sorry that you, Chaeremo...IW said<br /><br />" I am very sorry that you, Chaeremon, others have been moved off the Workshop thread to this open thread. Unfortunately Ulric was using the posts of others to flood the workshop with his own misunderstandings and confused thinking. Hopefully, you and Chaeremon will be able to bring your expertise to bear in this open thread. I know that I will be tracking what you are saying as the debate evolves.<br /><br />Ulric is a brilliant man who has a lot to contribute to this topic. Unfortunately, he has the diplomatic skills of a wooden post. He doesn’t seem to appreciate that there are times where he has misunderstood the problem he is criticizing. In these circumstances, no amount of explanation seems to mollify him.<br /><br />Ulric is correct in saying that a 239 year pattern is a marginally better fit to the long-term changes of the 31 year perigee/syzygy cycle. I actually show this in my paper. However, he misses the point that this is not what I am claiming in my paper.<br /><br />[Note: A basic underlying assumption in my paper is that tidal forces that peak at the same point in the seasonal calendar are more effective at influencing the climate than peak tides that drift through the tropical year.]<br /><br />What I find is that the 31 year perigee/syzygy peak tidal cycle slowly drifts through the seasonal calendar. The only reason that I mention the 239/243 year lunar cycle is the fact that it suggested that I investigate the following:<br /><br />I noticed that every time the north-south drift of Venus (at the times of inferior conjunctions of Venus and the Earth) crossed the Sun’s equator, the slow drift of the 239/243 year lunar through the seasonal calendar passed through roughly the same day of the year. Indeed, this commensurability was so good that it only drifted by -7 +/- 11 hrs over a period of 3,000 years."<br /><br />“flood the workshop with his own misunderstandings and confused thinking”<br /><br />Utter lies.<br /><br />” he has misunderstood the problem he is criticizing.”<br /><br />More lies.<br /><br />“Ulric is correct in saying that a 239 year pattern is a marginally better fit to the long-term changes of the 31 year perigee/syzygy cycle.”<br /><br />I never said anything of the sort, more lies. I said that the 31yr cycle breaks down after 62yrs, it cannot repeat.<br /><br />“I noticed that every time the north-south drift of Venus (at the times of inferior conjunctions of Venus and the Earth) crossed the Sun’s equator, the slow drift of the 239/243 year lunar through the seasonal calendar passed through roughly the same day of the year. Indeed, this commensurability was so good that it only drifted by -7 +/- 11 hrs over a period of 3,000 years.”<br /><br />Rubbish, they rapidly fall out of sync and regain sync at 9 Transit cycles. And saying 239 stroke 243 is BS, they don’t match.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2965766791260152878.post-58557383335438594572014-11-23T07:17:58.846-08:002014-11-23T07:17:58.846-08:00Here is my ~ 9 year year cycle in each correspondi...Here is my ~ 9 year year cycle in each corresponding 31 year tidal epoch:<br /><br />A. Full Moon Epochs<br /><br />1st FULL MOON EPOCH [1870 to 1901]<br /><br />1877-88 –> 1888-89 –> 1896-97 –> 1905-06 with 1899-1900 as a half cycle<br /><br />2nd FULL MOON EPOCH [1932 to 1963]<br /><br />1940-41 –> 1951-52 (weak) –> 1963-64 (weak) with 1957-58 as a half cycle<br /><br />3rd FULL MOON EPOCH [1993-94 to 2024-25]<br /><br />1997-98 –> 2006 –>. 2015-16 –> 2024-25 with 2019-20 as a possible half cycle.<br /><br />B. New Moon Epochs<br /><br />1st NEW MOON EPOCH [1901 to 1932]<br /><br />1902-03 –> 1911-12 –> 1918-19 –> 1931-31 with 1925-26 as a half cycle<br /><br />2nd NEW MOON EPOCH [1963 to 1993-94]<br /><br />1965-66 –> 1972-73 –> 1982-83 –> 1991-92 with 1987-88 as a half cycle.Ninderthanahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00390339452469614741noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2965766791260152878.post-25143241273175432802014-11-15T17:57:22.820-08:002014-11-15T17:57:22.820-08:00Congratulations on your articles and it is good to...Congratulations on your articles and it is good to see them repeated on Tallbloke.Please keep up the good work.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2965766791260152878.post-68085073881762940522014-11-14T15:38:17.535-08:002014-11-14T15:38:17.535-08:00It is interesting to note that the 9 year sequenci...It is interesting to note that the 9 year sequencing of El Nino events in the New Moon Epoch that ended around 1994 i.e.<br /><br />The El Nino's that occurred in 1982-83, 1991-92 and the missing El Nino in 2000-2001.<br /><br />should reappear as an El Nino around 2009-10.<br /><br />Hence, it is possible for one or two El Ninos that you would normally expect to occur in the New Moon tidal epoch to linger into the following Full Moon tidal epoch (i.e from 1994 to 2025).<br /><br />Thus there is always a possibility that we would get the following 9 year sequence of El Nino:<br /><br />1982-83<br />1991-92<br />2000-01 - missing<br />2009-10<br />around 2018.<br /><br />Since we know so little about this potential triggering mechanism - anything is possible at this stage. Ninderthanahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00390339452469614741noreply@blogger.com